Stories
India Online Retail Market to Surpass 90 Billion Dollars in 2026 Driven by Grocery Growth

- •India's online retail market is projected to cross 90 billion dollars in 2026 with an annual growth rate of 22 to 24 percent.
- •Grocery is set to overtake mobile phones as the second-largest e-commerce category behind fashion due to flat mobile sales.
- •Grocery, beauty and personal care, and home and furniture will account for about 40 percent of overall online retail GMV in 2026.
- •Electronics saw a 22 percent rebound in the first half of 2026 driven by GST reductions and heavy discounting on appliances.
- •Festive online sales leading up to Diwali are forecast to expand around 25 percent year-on-year to reach 15 to 16 billion dollars.
Key Questions Answered
India's online retail market is projected to exceed $90 billion in 2026, registering an annual growth rate of 22-24% which marks its fastest expansion in five years. This growth is primarily driven by everyday consumption categories like grocery rather than mobile phones.
Mobile sales experienced flat growth during the first half of 2026 and are projected to grow by just 2-3% for the full year. This stagnation is driven by sharp price increases that are curbing sales volumes and causing mobile phones to drop in market share.
The electronics segment experienced a 22% rebound in H1 2026 due to pre-loaded demand. Key drivers included a GST reduction on large appliances from 28% to 18% in September 2025, heavy discounting on air conditioners due to BEE star rating changes, an LPG shortage causing a surge in induction cooktops, and early laptop purchases.





