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Trump’s waiver eases India’s tariff fears; analysts see relief rally, not lasting certainty
M
Moneycontrol•19-10-2026, 05:01
US Russia Oil Waiver Gives India Short-Term Relief But Policy Risks Remain
  • •US President Donald Trump issued an executive order waiving sanctions and tariff threats under the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, offering a temporary sentiment boost for Indian equities.
  • •Market experts caution that the relief may only be short-term and subject to policy shifts following the upcoming US midterm elections.
  • •Oil marketing companies and export sectors like IT, pharma, and textiles are expected to benefit from the immediate removal of tariff pressures.
  • •Concerns remain regarding potential long-term increases in baseline energy costs as India diversifies its crude sourcing away from discounted Russian supplies.

Key Questions Answered

US President Donald Trump invoked national interest to waive sanctions, restrictions, and duties under the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026 to ease an immediate tariff threat for major buyers like India and help contain domestic fuel prices ahead of the November midterm elections.

Oil marketing companies stand to benefit through greater clarity on crude sourcing, while export-oriented sectors such as IT, pharma, textiles, and auto ancillaries could see relief rallies as the immediate threat of US tariffs recedes.

Market experts warn that the waiver is only a temporary reprieve subject to a 60-day review and potential post-midterm policy shifts, meaning underlying uncertainty persists alongside risks from international oil prices and import inflation.