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International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the IMF/World Bank 2026 Annual Meetings at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok, Thailand, October 12, 2026. File/Reuters
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Firstpost•15-10-2026, 08:12
IMF warns of three major risks threatening Asia's economic growth
  • •The International Monetary Fund projects Asia's economy to grow by 4.8 per cent in 2026 and 4.4 per cent in 2027.
  • •The Iran war and potential energy price spikes threaten household spending, business expenses, and regional inflation.
  • •A possible correction in the artificial intelligence boom poses a significant threat due to Asia's heavy involvement in the AI supply chain.
  • •Rising global bond yields and US monetary policy uncertainty could increase borrowing costs and strain public finances across the region.

Key Questions Answered

The IMF warned that the Iran war and its impact on energy prices, a potential correction in the artificial intelligence boom, and rising global bond yields are the three main risks clouding Asia's economic outlook.

The IMF projects that Asia's economy will grow by 4.8 per cent in 2026 and 4.4 per cent in 2027, which follows a growth rate of 5 per cent recorded in 2025.

Because Asia plays an extensive role in the AI production chain and technology manufacturing, a sharp reversal or correction in AI demand could heavily impact businesses and economies that benefited from recent investments.