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Brazil Election: Lula Edges Bolsonaro in Tight Race Ahead of First Round Vote
M
Moneycontrol•04-10-2026, 07:15
Brazil Election: Lula Edges Bolsonaro in Tight Race Ahead of First Round Vote
- •Multiple polls show Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva slightly ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro before Brazil's first-round election.
- •If no candidate secures over 50% of valid votes, a runoff election will be held on October 25.
- •The CNT/MDA poll places Lula at 47.8% and Bolsonaro at 42.1% in the first round, with Lula leading 47.3% to 43.1% in a runoff.
- •Datafolha indicates Lula with 45% and Bolsonaro with 42% in the first round, and a narrow 47%-46% lead for Lula in a runoff.
- •The Quaest poll shows a very close first round with Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 45%, but projects Bolsonaro leading 44% to 42% in a potential runoff.
Key Questions Answered
Recent polls show President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the first-round vote. Valid vote shares include CNT/MDA at 47.8% for Lula and 42.1% for Bolsonaro, Datafolha at 45% to 42%, Quaest at 46% to 45%, and AtlasIntel at 47% to 44.1%.
If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes during Sunday's election, the two frontrunners will advance to a second-round runoff scheduled for October 25.
The primary contenders in the fiercely contested race are incumbent leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and right-wing challenger Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, alongside other candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema.
