Stories
Earth After 1000 Years: Scientists' 10 Models Reveal Future Scenarios for Civilization
- •Scientists have developed 10 tech-based models depicting Earth's potential state after 1000 years, exploring scenarios of human civilization's advancement or catastrophe.
- •The research, led by scientists associated with Jans, including Jacob Haqq-Misra, George Profitiliotis, and Ravi Kopparapu, created 10 possible scenarios for technology-dependent civilizations.
- •Models range from 'Golden Age' where civilization continuously progresses, to 'Big Brother Is Watching' where technology is used for extensive surveillance.
- •The 'Ouroboros' model shows civilization repeatedly collapsing and recovering, suggesting a history of multiple cycles of decline and resurgence over 1000 years.
- •This research also aids in the search for alien civilizations by identifying 'Technosignatures' like industrial gases that could indicate technological activity on other planets.
Key Questions Answered
Scientists created 10 interconnected scenarios named Big Brother Is Watching, Wild West, Golden Age, Living with the Land, Transhumanism, Sword of Damocles, Restoration, Ouroboros, Deus Ex Machina, and Out of Eden to explore how technology and resources shape human civilization.
In 2026, researchers Celia Blanco, Jacob Haqq-Misra, and George Profitiliotis ran a Hybrid Deterministic-Stochastic Model over 1000 years, conducting 200 independent simulations per scenario for a total of 2,000 runs to study civilization stability and collapse.
In the Ouroboros model, civilization development is non-linear, progressing before collapsing due to a major crisis, and then recovering with remaining resources and technology with an average of about two collapses.
