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RBI Raises FY27 Inflation Forecast to 5.2% and GDP Growth to 7.1%

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Firstpost•07-10-2026, 10:36
RBI Raises FY27 Inflation Forecast to 5.2% and GDP Growth to 7.1%
- •The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.2 per cent, up from 5 per cent previously.
- •The central bank upgraded India's real GDP growth forecast for FY27 to 7.1 per cent from the earlier 6.7 per cent.
- •The Monetary Policy Committee increased the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 per cent and shifted to a calibrated tightening stance.
- •CPI inflation is projected at 4.9 percent in the second quarter, 6 percent in the third quarter, and 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter of FY27.
- •The RBI faces a delicate policy balancing act of containing persistent price pressures without harming domestic economic momentum.
Key Questions Answered
The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.2 per cent from 5 per cent and upgraded its real GDP growth forecast to 7.1 per cent from 6.7 per cent.
The Monetary Policy Committee decided to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 per cent and shifted its overall policy stance to 'calibrated tightening'.
The RBI projects CPI inflation to be 4.9 per cent in the second quarter, 6 per cent in the third quarter, and 5.7 per cent in the fourth quarter of FY27.





